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Bitcoin Gains 1% as U.S.-Iran Conflict Pauses, Lower Oil Prices Boost Risk Appetite Ahead of Fed Meeting

Bitcoin gained about 1% after a pause in U.S.-Iran fighting lowered oil prices and improved market sentiment, while investors awaited the Federal Reserve's policy decision.

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Arslan Ali Butt
Editor at AAFX.IO
Jul 28, 2026
Updated Jul 28, 2026
Bitcoin Gains 1% as U.S.-Iran Conflict Pauses, Lower Oil Prices Boost Risk Appetite Ahead of Fed Meeting

Bitcoin climbed around 1% on Monday after a pause in military hostilities between the United States and Iran improved investor sentiment and pushed oil prices sharply lower. As reported by Investing.com, easing geopolitical tensions reduced immediate inflation concerns, encouraging investors to return to risk assets while awaiting the U.S. Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision later this week.

Investing.com
Investing.com

Key developments

  • Bitcoin rose approximately 1.1% to $64,872, recovering from last week’s volatile trading.
  • According to Investing.com, the rally followed a pause in military strikes between the U.S. and Iran, which eased fears of a wider regional conflict.
  • Oil prices fell sharply after reports that the U.S. halted plans to further escalate military operations against Iran.
  • U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Mike Waltz said diplomatic talks with Iran are ongoing at multiple levels.
  • Former President Donald Trump also indicated there is a possibility of reaching a deal with Iran, although he said military action could resume if negotiations fail.
  • Investors are now focused on the Federal Reserve’s policy meeting later this week.

Why markets reacted

The decline in oil prices eased concerns that higher energy costs could fuel inflation, improving overall market sentiment. Lower inflation expectations increase the likelihood that the Federal Reserve may eventually ease monetary policy, a scenario generally viewed as supportive for higher-risk assets such as cryptocurrencies.

At the same time, investors are closely watching the Fed’s interest rate decision and comments from Fed Chair Kevin Warsh for signals on the future path of U.S. monetary policy. Higher interest rates typically reduce demand for speculative assets like Bitcoin by making safer investments more attractive.

Background and context

According to Investing.com, tensions between the United States and Iran intensified after attacks on commercial shipping near the Strait of Hormuz triggered renewed military exchanges. Over the following two weeks, Brent crude oil rose more than 20%, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude gained over 19% amid concerns about potential supply disruptions.

BTC/USD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
BTC/USD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

Those concerns eased after reports that Washington paused plans for further military escalation and diplomatic discussions resumed. The resulting drop in oil prices helped improve sentiment across global financial markets, including cryptocurrencies.

Bitcoin has also shown a stronger correlation with technology stocks this year, making broader market sentiment and macroeconomic developments increasingly important for its price movements.

What’s next

Markets are now awaiting the Federal Reserve’s interest rate announcement and guidance on future monetary policy. Investors will also monitor developments in U.S.-Iran negotiations, as renewed tensions could quickly affect oil prices and risk sentiment.

In addition, earnings reports from major technology companies, including Microsoft, Meta Platforms, Apple, and Amazon, could influence broader market performance and indirectly impact Bitcoin, which has recently traded in line with other risk assets.

Sources & Methodology

Primary-source standard: Market-moving facts should link to original data releases, regulator notices, company filings or official project announcements whenever available. Secondary reporting is used for additional context, not as a substitute for original evidence.

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Market information only: This article is for informational and educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. Trading and investing involve risk, including possible loss of capital. Verify current prices and terms before making financial decisions.
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Arslan Ali Butt
Arslan Ali Butt is the founder and Lead Market Analyst at AAFX.io, with more than a decade of experience covering forex, cryptocurrencies, commodities, equities, and global macroeconomic trends. He holds an MBA in Finance and an MPhil in Behavioral Finance, combining academic research with practical market experience in technical analysis, dealing-desk operations, risk management, market sentiment, and trading psychology. Since 2014, Arslan has produced data-driven market analysis, price forecasts, trading education, and live webinars for international audiences. His research and commentary have been published by FXEmpire, FXLeaders, FXStreet, TradingKey, Cryptonews, KuCoin Learn, InsideBitcoins, Business2Community, ForexCrunch, EconomyWatch, ACY Securities, and FlowBank. Through AAFX.io, he provides independent, transparent, and clearly sourced market news and analysis designed to help readers understand financial markets and make better-informed decisions.
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