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Ethereum Risks 15% Dip as MACD Turns Bearish Despite $417M BitMine Buy

Ethereum nears $4,200 as bearish MACD crossover signals short-term risk, but BitMine’s $417M ETH purchase underscores strong long-term institutional confidence.

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Arslan Ali Butt
Editor at AAFX.IO
Oct 17, 2025
Updated Oct 17, 2025
Ethereum Risks 15% Dip as MACD Turns Bearish Despite $417M BitMine Buy

Ethereum faces renewed selling pressure as technical indicators hint at a potential short-term correction. The world’s second-largest cryptocurrency is struggling to hold above the $4,200 level, after multiple failed attempts to break resistance near $4,700.

An analyst tracking Ethereum’s momentum highlighted that the weekly Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator is nearing a bearish crossover—a setup that historically precedes notable corrections. In past cycles, similar crossovers led to declines of 43% and 61%, suggesting the possibility of a 10–15% retracement if momentum weakens further.

The signal line’s upward tilt above the MACD line reinforces caution, pointing to fading bullish strength. However, Ethereum’s broader structure remains stable, with strong support emerging near $3,700, anchored by its 50-week moving average—a level that has repeatedly cushioned price declines since early 2025.

Despite near-term headwinds, analysts note that Ethereum’s higher low structure still reflects underlying market resilience, with investor sentiment favoring long-term recovery once technical weakness subsides.

BitMine Adds $417M ETH Despite Bearish Chart

Institutional conviction continues to counterbalance bearish sentiment. BitMine Immersion, a publicly traded blockchain infrastructure firm, recently purchased $417 million worth of ETH, signaling confidence in Ethereum’s long-term fundamentals even as short-term signals turn negative.

The company’s accumulation strategy—building its Ethereum holdings throughout 2025—suggests it views current levels as a strategic entry point. Such large-scale corporate buying often reduces exchange reserves, limiting the immediate downside during market corrections.

Analysts see BitMine’s timing as deliberate, reflecting growing optimism about Ethereum’s staking yields, layer-2 scalability, and institutional adoption.
Key takeaways from the move include:

  • $417M ETH purchase during market weakness
  • Continuous institutional accumulation since early 2025
  • Positive sentiment toward staking and network growth
ETH/USD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
ETH/USD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

This institutional support contrasts with short-term bearish charts, reinforcing the view that macro investors remain confident in Ethereum’s trajectory beyond short-lived technical pullbacks.

Outlook: Short-Term Pain, Long-Term Strength

While the MACD crossover hints at short-term volatility, Ethereum’s broader fundamentals remain intact. Institutional inflows, decreasing exchange reserves, and consistent network upgrades provide a stabilizing backdrop.

If support around $3,700 holds, analysts anticipate a swift recovery toward the $4,500 zone once selling pressure eases. In essence, Ethereum’s temporary weakness may serve as a reset, paving the way for renewed long-term momentum.


Sources & Methodology

Primary-source standard: Market-moving facts should link to original data releases, regulator notices, company filings or official project announcements whenever available. Secondary reporting is used for additional context, not as a substitute for original evidence.

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Market information only: This article is for informational and educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. Trading and investing involve risk, including possible loss of capital. Verify current prices and terms before making financial decisions.
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Arslan Ali Butt
Arslan Ali Butt is the founder and Lead Market Analyst at AAFX.io, with more than a decade of experience covering forex, cryptocurrencies, commodities, equities, and global macroeconomic trends. He holds an MBA in Finance and an MPhil in Behavioral Finance, combining academic research with practical market experience in technical analysis, dealing-desk operations, risk management, market sentiment, and trading psychology. Since 2014, Arslan has produced data-driven market analysis, price forecasts, trading education, and live webinars for international audiences. His research and commentary have been published by FXEmpire, FXLeaders, FXStreet, TradingKey, Cryptonews, KuCoin Learn, InsideBitcoins, Business2Community, ForexCrunch, EconomyWatch, ACY Securities, and FlowBank. Through AAFX.io, he provides independent, transparent, and clearly sourced market news and analysis designed to help readers understand financial markets and make better-informed decisions.
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