EUR/USD 1.0932 ▲ 0.24% GBP/USD 1.2781 ▼ 0.11% USD/JPY 151.62 ▲ 0.18% BTC/USD $112,430 ▲ 2.13% ETH/USD $4,215 ▲ 1.42% XAU/USD $3,368 ▼ 0.08% XAG/USD $31.40 ▲ 0.31% AUD/USD 0.6423 ▼ 0.05% SOL/USD $185.40 ▼ 0.73% WTI $72.80 ▼ 0.52% S&P 500 6,142 ▲ 0.36% NASDAQ 19,812 ▲ 0.41% EUR/USD 1.0932 ▲ 0.24% GBP/USD 1.2781 ▼ 0.11% USD/JPY 151.62 ▲ 0.18% BTC/USD $112,430 ▲ 2.13% ETH/USD $4,215 ▲ 1.42% XAU/USD $3,368 ▼ 0.08% XAG/USD $31.40 ▲ 0.31% AUD/USD 0.6423 ▼ 0.05% SOL/USD $185.40 ▼ 0.73% WTI $72.80 ▼ 0.52% S&P 500 6,142 ▲ 0.36% NASDAQ 19,812 ▲ 0.41%
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Home  /  Crypto  /  Bitcoin Drops 4% to $112.9K as Fed Rate-Cut…
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Bitcoin Drops 4% to $112.9K as Fed Rate-Cut Odds Shrink Before Powell Talk

Bitcoin drops 4% to $112.9K as Fed rate-cut odds shrink; Powell’s Jackson Hole speech looms as crypto markets post weekly declines.

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Arslan Ali Butt
Editor at AAFX.IO
Aug 22, 2025
Updated Aug 22, 2025
Bitcoin Drops 4% to $112.9K as Fed Rate-Cut Odds Shrink Before Powell Talk

Bitcoin prices slid Friday, adding to steep declines this week as investors grew cautious ahead of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s address at the Jackson Hole Symposium. The world’s largest cryptocurrency fell 0.9% to $112,943.40 by 01:29 ET (05:29 GMT), leaving it down nearly 4% for the week.

Profit-taking after August’s record highs compounded the decline, while diminishing expectations for a September interest rate cut further pressured sentiment. Broader crypto markets also weakened, signaling that investor appetite for speculative assets remains fragile.

China’s reported consideration of state-backed, yuan-denominated stablecoins provided little support, as the country maintains a ban on most cryptocurrency trading since 2021.

Fed Uncertainty Weighs on Markets

The Federal Reserve’s trajectory on interest rates remains the focal point for digital asset markets. Minutes from the central bank’s late-July meeting showed broad support for holding rates steady, tempering bets on imminent easing.

CME FedWatch data revealed futures traders now see a 73.1% chance of a 25-basis-point cut in September—down sharply from more than 90% last week. A stronger-than-expected August Purchasing Managers Index reinforced perceptions that the U.S. economy retains resilience, further reducing the likelihood of near-term cuts.

Powell has thus far avoided firm commitments on monetary policy, pointing to uncertainty around the inflationary effects of President Donald Trump’s trade tariffs. For cryptocurrencies, which thrive in looser liquidity conditions, the prospect of “higher-for-longer” rates poses a significant headwind.

Key factors driving sentiment include:

  • Dwindling Rate-Cut Odds: September cut odds fall to 73.1% from 90%+ last week.
  • Economic Resilience: U.S. PMI data showed stronger-than-expected growth.
  • Policy Uncertainty: Powell’s speech seen as pivotal for near-term direction.
Bitcoin Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
Bitcoin Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

Altcoins Mirror Bitcoin’s Decline

The weakness extended across the crypto complex. Ethereum, the second-largest token, dropped 0.9% to $4,277.18 and is down 3.2% for the week. XRP slid 2.2%, bringing weekly losses to 7.6%. Cardano and Solana each fell 2.5% Friday, both lower by more than 7% for the week.

Meme-inspired coins also saw outsized losses: Dogecoin slipped 2.8%, while $TRUMP tumbled 4.6%. The declines underscored the sector’s sensitivity to macroeconomic shifts and its reliance on liquidity flows.

After rallying sharply in 2024 as the Fed pivoted toward easing, cryptocurrencies now face renewed pressure. If Powell signals caution or maintains hawkish language, digital assets could see further downside before stabilizing.

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Arslan Ali Butt
Arslan Ali Butt is a financial markets analyst, trader, and founder of AAFX.io, with over a decade of experience covering forex, cryptocurrencies, stocks, commodities, and global macroeconomic trends. Since 2014, he has been delivering data-driven market analysis, price forecasts, and educational content for traders and investors worldwide.His expertise combines technical analysis, macroeconomic research, market sentiment, and risk management to identify high-probability trading opportunities and explain the forces driving financial markets. Prior to founding AAFX.io, Arslan gained hands-on experience in institutional trading and risk management, giving him a practical perspective on market behaviour.Arslan's research has been featured on leading financial publications, including FXEmpire, FXLeaders, FXStreet, Cryptonews, KuCoin Learn, InsideBitcoins, Business2Community, ForexCrunch, and EconomyWatch. He has also hosted live market webinars and educational sessions for international brokerage firms.Through AAFX.io, Arslan's mission is to provide independent, transparent, and actionable market insights that help traders make more informed decisions with confidence.
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