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Bitcoin Stalls at $110K as October Ends With 3.7% Monthly Decline

Bitcoin slips 3.7% in October, holding near $110K as U.S.-China tensions, Fed policy, and fading “Uptober” momentum weigh on crypto market sentiment.

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Arslan Ali Butt
Editor at AAFX.IO
Oct 31, 2025
Updated Oct 31, 2025
Bitcoin Stalls at $110K as October Ends With 3.7% Monthly Decline

Bitcoin (BTC) held steady around $110,000 on Friday, showing little sign of recovery as investors grappled with renewed U.S.-China trade tensions and hawkish Federal Reserve signals. The world’s largest cryptocurrency slipped 0.3% to $110,012, extending its October loss to 3.7%, putting an end to the much-hyped “Uptober” rally.

Traders had hoped for seasonal strength in October—historically one of Bitcoin’s best-performing months—but macroeconomic uncertainty and risk aversion overshadowed bullish sentiment. The muted reaction to the meeting between U.S. President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping reinforced concerns about weak trade progress.

Meanwhile, the Fed’s cautious tone earlier this week and a surging U.S. dollar weighed on broader crypto appetite. The Nasdaq Composite gained over 4% in October, fueled by artificial intelligence optimism, but Bitcoin remained decoupled from tech stocks.

“Bitcoin’s October weakness signals a shift in market dynamics as investors turn defensive,” said one market strategist. “It’s clear that macro factors, not momentum, are driving the narrative.”

BTC Faces First October Loss Since 2018

Bitcoin’s slide marks its first October decline in seven years, ending a streak of historically strong monthly performances. Analysts say the selloff was accelerated by rising U.S.-China tensions, which triggered a flash crash earlier this month and eroded short-term confidence.

Despite stabilizing above $110,000, on-chain data shows reduced whale activity and low open interest in derivatives, suggesting traders are reluctant to take aggressive positions.

Key factors behind Bitcoin’s October weakness:

  • Lack of a concrete U.S.-China trade deal
  • Fed’s hawkish tone limiting liquidity
  • Declining correlation with tech stocks
  • Reduced institutional inflows amid volatility

Analysts note that Bitcoin’s historical “Uptober” momentum may not reappear unless global risk sentiment improves and the Fed signals a more dovish path in the months ahead.

Crypto Stocks and Altcoins Diverge

While Bitcoin drifted sideways, crypto-linked equities saw notable gains. Strategy Inc. (NASDAQ: MSTR), the largest corporate Bitcoin holder, reported better-than-expected Q3 earnings, lifting its shares by 6% in after-hours trading.

BTC/USD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
BTC/USD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

Chairman Michael Saylor reiterated his bullish forecast, predicting that Bitcoin could reach $150,000 by late 2025. Similarly, Coinbase (NASDAQ: COIN) posted strong quarterly results driven by rising trading volumes, adding optimism to the sector.

Among altcoins, Ether dropped 1.8% to $3,849, XRP lost 12.6%, Solana fell 11%, and Cardano plunged 24% in October. In contrast, BNB gained 9%, while memecoin $TRUMP rose 9%, outperforming larger peers.

As October closes, the broader crypto market remains defensive, with investors awaiting fresh catalysts—potentially from central banks or regulatory developments—to determine Bitcoin’s next direction.

Sources & Methodology

Primary-source standard: Market-moving facts should link to original data releases, regulator notices, company filings or official project announcements whenever available. Secondary reporting is used for additional context, not as a substitute for original evidence.

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Market information only: This article is for informational and educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. Trading and investing involve risk, including possible loss of capital. Verify current prices and terms before making financial decisions.
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Arslan Ali Butt
Arslan Ali Butt is the founder and Lead Market Analyst at AAFX.io, with more than a decade of experience covering forex, cryptocurrencies, commodities, equities, and global macroeconomic trends. He holds an MBA in Finance and an MPhil in Behavioral Finance, combining academic research with practical market experience in technical analysis, dealing-desk operations, risk management, market sentiment, and trading psychology. Since 2014, Arslan has produced data-driven market analysis, price forecasts, trading education, and live webinars for international audiences. His research and commentary have been published by FXEmpire, FXLeaders, FXStreet, TradingKey, Cryptonews, KuCoin Learn, InsideBitcoins, Business2Community, ForexCrunch, EconomyWatch, ACY Securities, and FlowBank. Through AAFX.io, he provides independent, transparent, and clearly sourced market news and analysis designed to help readers understand financial markets and make better-informed decisions.
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