The USD/JPY pair continues to hold steady above the 148.25 level, which aligns with the pivot point and serves as a critical support zone. The upward channel support that is visible on the 2-hour chart has helped to extend the pair’s recent buying trend.
As of now, USD/JPY is trading just below the 149.00 resistance, hinting at potential upside momentum if it sustains above its key support level.
Fundamental Factors Favor Further Upside in USD/JPY
The recent strength in USD/JPY can be attributed to a favourable fundamental backdrop, including robust U.S. economic data and expectations for the Federal Reserve to maintain a hawkish stance.
In contrast, Japan’s dovish monetary policy and speculative concerns about potential intervention by Japanese authorities have kept the yen under pressure.
Comments from Japan’s Vice Finance Minister Atsushi Mimura about monitoring FX moves have sparked discussions of possible intervention, but the market remains tilted towards further USD gains.
Moreover, political uncertainty in Japan and a stable U.S. dollar driven by stronger non-farm payroll data suggest that any dips in USD/JPY could still be viewed as buying opportunities.
Investors will keep an eye on upcoming speeches by key Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) members, which could provide additional cues on the Fed’s rate path.
Technical Analysis: Key Levels and Indicators for USD/JPY
Technically, USD/JPY remains within an upward channel, supported around the 148.25 level. Holding above this channel support and pivot point strengthens the pair’s bullish bias, with immediate resistance at 149.00.
A breakout above this level might pave the way for a subsequent rally toward the 149.85 and 150.65 marks. Conversely, dropping below 148.25 would bring support at 147.20 and 146.50 into focus.
Key Price Levels:
- Pivot Point: 148.25
- Immediate Resistance: 149.00
- Next Resistance Levels: 149.85, 150.65
- Immediate Support: 148.25
- Next Support Levels: 147.20, 146.50
Technical Indicators:
- RSI: 54, indicating neutral momentum but tilting towards a bullish bias.
- 50 EMA: 146.51, serving as dynamic support.
Conclusion: USD/JPY’s ability to hold above 148.25 while maintaining its position within the ascending channel suggests continued bullish momentum.
A decisive break above 149.00 would likely attract more buying interest, potentially pushing the pair towards higher resistance levels. However, a fall below 148.25 could signal a near-term trend reversal, leading to a deeper correction.
