The Australian Dollar (AUD) is gaining momentum, pushing the AUD/USD pair toward the 0.6350 mark during North American trading hours. This rally comes as China introduces fresh monetary stimulus, reinforcing the appeal of the Aussie, which is closely tied to China’s economic performance.
China’s government unveiled a comprehensive “special action plan” aimed at boosting domestic consumption and stabilizing growth. The initiative focuses on increasing household incomes, alleviating financial burdens, and fostering a more favorable economic environment.
Adding to the positive sentiment, China’s latest economic data exceeded expectations:
- Retail Sales grew 5.2% year-over-year, signaling resilient consumer demand.
- Industrial Production expanded by 7.0%, surpassing forecasts and highlighting a stronger manufacturing sector.
These indicators enhance confidence in the Australian economy, given its reliance on exports to China, and support further upside for the AUD.
Australian Employment Data in Focus
Domestically, investors are now watching Australia’s upcoming labor market report, scheduled for release on Thursday. This data will be pivotal in shaping expectations for the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) next moves.
Key figures to watch:
- Employment Change – A strong increase could fuel further AUD gains.
- Unemployment Rate – A decline would reinforce expectations of tighter monetary policy.
A robust labor market could push the RBA to maintain its hawkish stance, supporting the Australian Dollar in the near term.
Fed Decision Looms Over USD Outlook
Meanwhile, the US Dollar (USD) remains under pressure as market participants brace for the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy announcement on Wednesday.
- The Fed is expected to hold rates steady at 4.25%-4.50%, but any hints of future rate cuts could weaken the USD.
- Concerns over economic slowdown under President Donald Trump’s policies add to the Dollar’s cautious outlook.
Traders will analyze Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s remarks for clues on inflation, growth, and potential rate adjustments in the coming months.
With both central bank decisions on the horizon, volatility is likely to remain elevated in the AUD/USD pair. A stronger Australian labor report or dovish Fed stance could push the pair further above 0.6350, while any disappointments may trigger a pullback.
