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Oil Prices Slide 5% This Week as Trump’s Tariffs Raise Trade War Fears

Oil heads for biggest weekly loss in months as Trump’s tariffs fuel trade war fears.

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Arslan Ali Butt
Editor at AAFX.IO
Apr 4, 2025
Updated Apr 4, 2025
Oil Prices Slide 5% This Week as Trump’s Tariffs Raise Trade War Fears

Oil prices extended their losses in early Asian trading on Friday, heading for their steepest weekly drop in months as new U.S. tariffs announced by President Donald Trump fueled fears of a global trade war. The measures, which impose a 10% baseline duty on all U.S. imports, have heightened economic uncertainty, raising concerns about weaker oil demand.

Brent crude futures slipped 31 cents, or 0.4%, to $69.83 per barrel by 01:57 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude fell 32 cents, or 0.5%, to $66.63. Brent is on track for its largest percentage drop since mid-October, while WTI is set for its worst week since late January.

OPEC+ Accelerates Supply Increases

Adding to the market’s bearish outlook, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies (OPEC+) announced plans to accelerate their oil production increases. The alliance now aims to return 411,000 barrels per day (bpd) to the market in May—up from an initially planned 135,000 bpd—further intensifying supply pressures.

  • Analysts at ING noted that the decision could drive a larger surplus in global crude supplies.
  • The Brent-Dubai spread, which typically indicates market strength, has seen an unusual discount for much of the year.

These developments have reinforced bearish sentiment, with traders anticipating increased supply amid declining demand expectations.

Trump’s Tariffs and Their Impact on Oil Prices

Oil prices began their downward spiral after Trump’s Wednesday press conference, where he declared “Liberation Day” and revealed sweeping tariffs on U.S. imports. While oil, gas, and refined products were excluded from the new duties, broader economic concerns have weighed on market sentiment.

  • Inflation risks are rising, potentially leading to weaker consumer and industrial demand.
  • Slower economic growth could curb energy consumption, dampening future oil price gains.
  • Trade disputes with key partners, including the European Union and China, could disrupt global supply chains.

While some analysts believe demand could recover later in the year, immediate risks remain tilted to the downside. Markets now await further guidance from the Federal Reserve and upcoming economic data releases for clues on the broader impact of the tariffs.

Sources & Methodology

Primary-source standard: Market-moving facts should link to original data releases, regulator notices, company filings or official project announcements whenever available. Secondary reporting is used for additional context, not as a substitute for original evidence.

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Market information only: This article is for informational and educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. Trading and investing involve risk, including possible loss of capital. Verify current prices and terms before making financial decisions.
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Arslan Ali Butt
Arslan Ali Butt is the founder and Lead Market Analyst at AAFX.io, with more than a decade of experience covering forex, cryptocurrencies, commodities, equities, and global macroeconomic trends. He holds an MBA in Finance and an MPhil in Behavioral Finance, combining academic research with practical market experience in technical analysis, dealing-desk operations, risk management, market sentiment, and trading psychology. Since 2014, Arslan has produced data-driven market analysis, price forecasts, trading education, and live webinars for international audiences. His research and commentary have been published by FXEmpire, FXLeaders, FXStreet, TradingKey, Cryptonews, KuCoin Learn, InsideBitcoins, Business2Community, ForexCrunch, EconomyWatch, ACY Securities, and FlowBank. Through AAFX.io, he provides independent, transparent, and clearly sourced market news and analysis designed to help readers understand financial markets and make better-informed decisions.
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