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Solana Risks 36% Drop to $75 as Janover Buys $4.6M in SOL Amid Market Gloom

Solana hovers near $100 despite Janover’s $4.6M SOL buy.

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Arslan Ali Butt
Editor at AAFX.IO
Apr 11, 2025
Updated Apr 11, 2025
Solana Risks 36% Drop to $75 as Janover Buys $4.6M in SOL Amid Market Gloom

U.S.-based software company Janover Inc. has joined the growing list of corporate entities adding crypto to their treasuries, announcing the purchase of $4.6 million worth of Solana (SOL). This bold move echoes MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin-focused playbook, where institutional capital flows into digital assets amid market uncertainty.

Janover funded the purchase following a $42 million private offering of convertible notes. The firm’s stock surged 429% over four days after the news. Yet, despite this bullish headline, Solana’s price remained largely unmoved, signaling broader market pessimism may be overpowering isolated bullish developments.

  • Stock surge: Janover shares up 429%
  • Purchase size: $4.6M in SOL tokens
  • Trend driver: Treasury diversification strategy

Market pressures—including Trump’s trade war maneuvers, Bitcoin’s downtrend, and lingering macroeconomic uncertainty—continue to weigh on investor sentiment, limiting Solana’s upside.

Solana Breaches Key $126 Support

Technical indicators suggest further downside for SOL, with the token now trading near $116, down 2.13% today. On the three-day chart, Solana has decisively broken below its $126 support, which had held since March 4, 2024. That level has now flipped into resistance.

The $100 psychological level remains the last line of defense. Should it give way, the next significant demand zone lies at $74.94, a level that last saw heavy accumulation in December 2023, preceding a 78% rally over just nine days.

Key technical levels:

  • Resistance: $126
  • Immediate support: $100
  • Major demand zone: $74.94

A return to $75 would represent a 36% drop from recent highs, and analysts warn it could materialize quickly if macroeconomic conditions deteriorate further or if tariff tensions escalate again.

Can Bitcoin Save the Altcoin Market?

Solana’s fate may ultimately hinge on the broader crypto market, particularly Bitcoin’s price action. If Bitcoin stages a bullish reversal—possibly sparked by easing trade tensions or positive inflation data—it could lift altcoins with it, including SOL.

A bullish shift could see SOL:

  • Retake $100 and $126 levels
  • Re-enter the $127–$168 value range
  • Target $142, the highest-volume node in that zone

But until then, the short-term outlook remains cautious. Janover’s bullish bet may be a long-term play, but in the near term, Solana faces the real threat of a decline toward $75 unless broader sentiment shifts.

Sources & Methodology

Primary-source standard: Market-moving facts should link to original data releases, regulator notices, company filings or official project announcements whenever available. Secondary reporting is used for additional context, not as a substitute for original evidence.

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Market information only: This article is for informational and educational purposes and does not constitute investment advice. Trading and investing involve risk, including possible loss of capital. Verify current prices and terms before making financial decisions.
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Arslan Ali Butt
Arslan Ali Butt is the founder and Lead Market Analyst at AAFX.io, with more than a decade of experience covering forex, cryptocurrencies, commodities, equities, and global macroeconomic trends. He holds an MBA in Finance and an MPhil in Behavioral Finance, combining academic research with practical market experience in technical analysis, dealing-desk operations, risk management, market sentiment, and trading psychology. Since 2014, Arslan has produced data-driven market analysis, price forecasts, trading education, and live webinars for international audiences. His research and commentary have been published by FXEmpire, FXLeaders, FXStreet, TradingKey, Cryptonews, KuCoin Learn, InsideBitcoins, Business2Community, ForexCrunch, EconomyWatch, ACY Securities, and FlowBank. Through AAFX.io, he provides independent, transparent, and clearly sourced market news and analysis designed to help readers understand financial markets and make better-informed decisions.
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