U.S. stock index futures posted modest gains early Tuesday following President Trump’s suggestion of new tariff exemptions for imported autos and auto parts. The move injected a dose of optimism into a market clouded by recent policy uncertainty and weak sentiment.
At 5:22 a.m. ET, key futures were higher:
- Dow E-minis rose 45 points (0.11%)
- S&P 500 E-minis gained 12.25 points (0.23%)
- Nasdaq 100 E-minis advanced 66.25 points (0.35%)
Trump hinted Monday at possible relief for the auto sector, saying he was “looking at something to help some of the car companies,” referring to the current 25% tariffs. This follows Friday’s decision to exempt key electronics products from tariffs, which briefly lifted investor sentiment.
Automakers saw mixed reactions:
- Ford (F) edged up 0.6%
- General Motors (GM) slipped 1.1% after a downgrade
Despite the uptick in futures, analysts warned that market gains may remain short-lived without sustained clarity. “This latest ‘tariff reprieve’ merely adds to the policy unpredictability,” said Marc Ostwald, Chief Economist at ADM Investor Services International.
Pharma and Tech Sectors Under Scrutiny
While autos may benefit, pharmaceuticals and semiconductors are facing new pressure. Recent Federal Register filings confirmed the administration is moving forward with investigations into imports from both sectors, signaling potential tariffs.
These developments weighed on investor sentiment, particularly in sectors that have already been volatile amid broader trade tensions. The uncertainty around enforcement, scope, and timing of these measures continues to challenge corporate planning and market stability.
Upcoming economic data may also influence direction:
- March import and export prices report
- NY Fed’s April manufacturing survey
- Speeches by Richmond Fed President Thomas Barkin and Fed Governor Lisa Cook
Earnings and Outlook Drive Market Tone
Corporate earnings are in focus this week, as investors look for signs of how companies are managing trade disruptions. Results due Tuesday from:
- Bank of America
- Citigroup
- Johnson & Johnson
Despite Monday’s gains, the market remains under pressure:
- S&P 500 is down 8.1% YTD
- Dow Jones Industrial Average has lost 4.8%
- Nasdaq Composite is off nearly 13%
Adding to concerns, Boeing (BA) dropped 2.8% after reports that China halted new jet deliveries, underscoring how geopolitical tensions continue to shape market risks.
Global investors have steadily reduced their exposure to U.S. equities, and BofA Global Research reports a record share of fund managers intend to further cut U.S. holdings in coming months.