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Gold Dips 0.4% But Still Eyes 6% Monthly Gain Amid Trade Policy Shifts

Gold prices fall 0.4% as U.S.

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Arslan Ali Butt
Editor at AAFX.IO
Apr 30, 2025
Updated Apr 30, 2025
Gold Dips 0.4% But Still Eyes 6% Monthly Gain Amid Trade Policy Shifts

Gold prices slid for a second day in Asian markets on Wednesday, pressured by signs of easing U.S. trade tensions. Spot Gold fell 0.4% to $3,305.10 per ounce by 02:30 ET, while June Gold Futures dropped 0.6% to $3,314.94. However, the yellow metal remains on track for its fourth consecutive monthly gain—up nearly 6% in April.

Investor sentiment shifted as the U.S. administration took steps to reduce the economic impact of its auto tariffs. President Biden signed orders that included temporary tariff relief and tax credits on imported auto materials. Additionally, Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick hinted at progress in U.S.-China trade negotiations, stating a potential deal is “imminent.”

These developments have temporarily weakened demand for gold, a traditional safe-haven asset during geopolitical or economic unrest. Nonetheless, analysts at ING believe that lingering uncertainty and global instability will keep gold prices supported over the medium term.

Investors Await Crucial Fed Inflation Data

Economic indicators from the U.S. continue to paint a mixed picture. The Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index fell to its lowest point since May 2020, while the Labor Department’s Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) revealed a drop in available positions—from 7.48 million to 7.192 million in March.

Markets now turn their focus to three key data releases due this week:

  • PCE Price Index – The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge
  • Monthly Nonfarm Payrolls – A barometer of labor market health
  • Q1 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) – A snapshot of economic growth

These figures will be critical for determining the Fed’s path on interest rates. So far, the central bank has maintained a cautious “wait-and-see” stance amid shifting economic and trade dynamics.

Copper Slips as China’s Factory Activity Shrinks

Industrial metals mirrored gold’s downward move. Copper prices retreated after China’s official manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) fell to 49.0 in April, signaling contraction. That’s a drop from 50.5 in March and the first dip below 50 since December 2023.

GOLD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
GOLD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview
  • Benchmark Copper Futures on the London Metal Exchange: ↓ 0.5% to $9,379.55/ton
  • May Copper Futures: ↓ 1.5% to $4.7875/pound

The decline reflects subdued industrial demand amid intensified U.S. tariffs on Chinese goods—reportedly as high as 145%.

As geopolitical pressures and macroeconomic data continue to influence investor behavior, gold’s long-term outlook remains closely tied to policy shifts and inflation trajectories.

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Arslan Ali Butt
Arslan Ali Butt is the founder and Lead Market Analyst at AAFX.io, with more than a decade of experience covering forex, cryptocurrencies, commodities, equities, and global macroeconomic trends. He holds an MBA in Finance and an MPhil in Behavioral Finance, combining academic research with practical market experience in technical analysis, dealing-desk operations, risk management, market sentiment, and trading psychology. Since 2014, Arslan has produced data-driven market analysis, price forecasts, trading education, and live webinars for international audiences. His research and commentary have been published by FXEmpire, FXLeaders, FXStreet, TradingKey, Cryptonews, KuCoin Learn, InsideBitcoins, Business2Community, ForexCrunch, EconomyWatch, ACY Securities, and FlowBank. Through AAFX.io, he provides independent, transparent, and clearly sourced market news and analysis designed to help readers understand financial markets and make better-informed decisions.
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Publisher clarification: AAFX.IO is an independent financial news publisher and is not affiliated with AAFX Trading or any similarly named forex broker.
Publisher clarification: AAFX.IO is an independent financial news publisher and is not affiliated with AAFX Trading or any similarly named forex broker.
Publisher clarification: AAFX.IO is an independent financial news publisher and is not affiliated with AAFX Trading or any similarly named forex broker.
Publisher clarification: AAFX.IO is an independent financial news publisher and is not affiliated with AAFX Trading or any similarly named forex broker.