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Gold Extends Rally With 4.6% Monthly Jump as Traders Bet on Fed Rate Cut

Gold rises for a fourth month as traders price in an 82.8% chance of a December Fed rate cut, lifting safe-haven demand and supporting metal markets.

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Arslan Ali Butt
Editor at AAFX.IO
Nov 28, 2025
Updated Nov 28, 2025
Gold Extends Rally With 4.6% Monthly Jump as Traders Bet on Fed Rate Cut

Gold prices strengthened in Asian trading on Friday, setting the stage for a fourth consecutive month of gains as investors doubled down on expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in December. The metal briefly dipped in the previous session but quickly regained traction, with traders maintaining confidence that policy easing is approaching.

Safe-haven appetite also expanded as global equities showed signs of fatigue after weeks of risk-on momentum. Geopolitical tensions—from the Russia-Ukraine conflict to rising diplomatic strains between China and Japan—added further support to bullion positioning.

Spot gold advanced 0.6% to $4,183.01 per ounce by 01:21 ET (05:21 GMT). Trading across gold and broader metals futures, however, faced temporary disruptions following a technical outage at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange.

November Delivers Strong Gains Across Metals

Gold’s performance in November remained notably resilient. The metal posted a 4.6% monthly increase, reinforcing its upward momentum despite early-month volatility driven by shifting expectations for Fed policy. Renewed confidence in a December rate cut helped the metal recover, contributing to a nearly 3% gain for the week.

Market pricing now reflects an 82.8% probability of a 25-basis-point cut during the Fed’s December 9–10 meeting—up sharply from 28.5% just one week earlier, according to CME FedWatch data. Dovish remarks from several Fed officials, paired with weaker U.S. economic indicators, strengthened assumptions that monetary easing is imminent.

While a softer dollar supported gold, other precious metals also rallied:

  • Platinum jumped 2.4% to $1,643.04/oz
  • Silver climbed 1.3% to $54.0905/oz, nearing a record
  • Both metals gained 4.5% and 11.3% respectively throughout November

CME Outage Disrupts Commodity Trading

XAU/USD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
GOLD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

Trading activity thinned further on Friday as a CME data-center outage halted futures across several metal and commodity contracts. Gold, platinum, copper, and silver futures all recorded their last visible trade at 00:00 ET.

CME Group attributed the disruption to a cooling malfunction at a CyrusOne facility and said it was working to restore full operations. The outage followed the U.S. Thanksgiving holiday, amplifying already reduced trading volume.

Despite the interruption, market sentiment remained firmly aligned with expectations of easier U.S. monetary policy—setting the tone for continued strength in precious metals into December.

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Arslan Ali Butt
Arslan Ali Butt is the founder and Lead Market Analyst at AAFX.io, with more than a decade of experience covering forex, cryptocurrencies, commodities, equities, and global macroeconomic trends. He holds an MBA in Finance and an MPhil in Behavioral Finance, combining academic research with practical market experience in technical analysis, dealing-desk operations, risk management, market sentiment, and trading psychology. Since 2014, Arslan has produced data-driven market analysis, price forecasts, trading education, and live webinars for international audiences. His research and commentary have been published by FXEmpire, FXLeaders, FXStreet, TradingKey, Cryptonews, KuCoin Learn, InsideBitcoins, Business2Community, ForexCrunch, EconomyWatch, ACY Securities, and FlowBank. Through AAFX.io, he provides independent, transparent, and clearly sourced market news and analysis designed to help readers understand financial markets and make better-informed decisions.
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Publisher clarification: AAFX.IO is an independent financial news publisher and is not affiliated with AAFX Trading or any similarly named forex broker.
Publisher clarification: AAFX.IO is an independent financial news publisher and is not affiliated with AAFX Trading or any similarly named forex broker.
Publisher clarification: AAFX.IO is an independent financial news publisher and is not affiliated with AAFX Trading or any similarly named forex broker.
Publisher clarification: AAFX.IO is an independent financial news publisher and is not affiliated with AAFX Trading or any similarly named forex broker.