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Gold Falls 1.7% to $3,287 as US-China Deal, Indo-Pak Ceasefire Ease Risks

Gold prices drop over 1% as US-China trade deal lifts risk appetite and Indo-Pak tensions cool.

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Arslan Ali Butt
Editor at AAFX.IO
May 12, 2025
Updated May 12, 2025
Gold Falls 1.7% to $3,287 as US-China Deal, Indo-Pak Ceasefire Ease Risks

Gold prices slumped on Monday as investor appetite shifted away from safe havens amid signs of improving global stability. Spot gold fell 1.3% to $3,283.04 an ounce, while June gold futures dropped 1.7% to $3,287.90 in early Asian trade. The decline comes as the White House announced a breakthrough in trade negotiations with China, sparking a rally in equity markets and weighing heavily on bullion.

The trade agreement, though lacking specific terms, signals an end to months of escalating tariffs. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Trade Representative Jamieson Greer confirmed a consensus was reached during talks in Geneva over the weekend. Chinese media also hinted at a formal joint statement expected Monday.

Just weeks ago, President Trump imposed 145% tariffs on Chinese imports, prompting Beijing to respond with 125% levies of its own. However, the recent détente—paired with a pledge to reduce tariffs to 80%—has cooled tensions and reduced safe-haven demand for gold.

Additionally, a 0.3% jump in the U.S. Dollar Index further pressured precious metals, making them less attractive to foreign investors.

Broader Metals Market Reflects Shift

Gold’s decline mirrored losses across the broader precious metals market. As investors embraced riskier assets, other traditionally defensive commodities lost momentum.

Key movements include:

  • Platinum futures down 0.2% to $1,000.50/oz
  • Silver futures down 0.5% to $32.758/oz
  • Copper futures rose 0.4% in London to $9,483.60/ton
  • U.S. copper futures gained 0.5% to $4.6755/pound

The rise in industrial metals, particularly copper, reflects market optimism that easing trade barriers will boost demand from top importer China, providing a tailwind for economic recovery and infrastructure investment.

Indo-Pak Ceasefire Cools Geopolitical Fears

Gold also faced downward pressure from easing geopolitical concerns in South Asia. A U.S.-brokered ceasefire between India and Pakistan has held for over 36 hours, reducing fears of further escalation along the Kashmir border.

Although brief accusations of ceasefire violations emerged on Saturday, military activity has since de-escalated. The U.S. has offered to mediate the Kashmir dispute, a gesture welcomed by Islamabad but left unacknowledged by New Delhi.

This stabilization, combined with easing trade tensions, has significantly reduced demand for gold as a hedge against uncertainty. Investors now await the full text of the U.S.-China trade deal, set for release later today, for further clarity on global risk dynamics.

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Arslan Ali Butt
Arslan Ali Butt is the founder and Lead Market Analyst at AAFX.io, with more than a decade of experience covering forex, cryptocurrencies, commodities, equities, and global macroeconomic trends. He holds an MBA in Finance and an MPhil in Behavioral Finance, combining academic research with practical market experience in technical analysis, dealing-desk operations, risk management, market sentiment, and trading psychology. Since 2014, Arslan has produced data-driven market analysis, price forecasts, trading education, and live webinars for international audiences. His research and commentary have been published by FXEmpire, FXLeaders, FXStreet, TradingKey, Cryptonews, KuCoin Learn, InsideBitcoins, Business2Community, ForexCrunch, EconomyWatch, ACY Securities, and FlowBank. Through AAFX.io, he provides independent, transparent, and clearly sourced market news and analysis designed to help readers understand financial markets and make better-informed decisions.
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Publisher clarification: AAFX.IO is an independent financial news publisher and is not affiliated with AAFX Trading or any similarly named forex broker.
Publisher clarification: AAFX.IO is an independent financial news publisher and is not affiliated with AAFX Trading or any similarly named forex broker.
Publisher clarification: AAFX.IO is an independent financial news publisher and is not affiliated with AAFX Trading or any similarly named forex broker.
Publisher clarification: AAFX.IO is an independent financial news publisher and is not affiliated with AAFX Trading or any similarly named forex broker.