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Gold & Silver

Gold Hits $5,111/oz, Up 17% in 2026 Amid Geopolitical & Fed Pressure

Gold climbs to $5,111/oz, rising 17% this year, as geopolitical tensions and Fed policy expectations boost safe-haven demand.

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Arslan Ali Butt
Editor at AAFX.IO
Jan 26, 2026
Updated Jan 26, 2026
Gold Hits $5,111/oz, Up 17% in 2026 Amid Geopolitical & Fed Pressure

Gold surged past $5,100/oz on Monday, extending last week’s 8% rally.

  • Spot gold: $5,111.11/oz (up 2.5%)
  • U.S. Gold Futures: $5,145.39/oz (up 2.5%)

The metal has risen 17% in 2026, driven by geopolitical tensions, expectations of U.S. monetary easing, and central bank demand.

Other precious metals also climbed:

  • Silver: $109.46/oz (+6%)
  • Platinum: $2,910.67/oz (+4%)

Geopolitical Tensions Fuel Gold Demand

U.S.–NATO tensions over Greenland and Arctic strategic interests have unsettled markets.

Trade frictions with Canada intensified the rally:

  • Trump warned of a 100% tariff on Canadian goods linked to China trade.
  • He noted Canada could serve as a “drop-off port” for Chinese goods.

These geopolitical concerns increased safe-haven buying, pushing gold to record levels.

Fed Policy and Interest Rates Support Rally

GOLD Price Chart - Source: Tradingview
GOLD Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

Investors are closely watching the Federal Reserve meeting on Wednesday. Expectations:

  • Rates likely on hold for now
  • Future rate cuts may be hinted, supporting gold

Lower interest rates reduce the cost of holding non-yielding assets, making gold more attractive.

ING analysts note:

  • A Jan 28 rate cut is unlikely
  • Attention will focus on the new Fed Chair nomination and upcoming economic data

The combination of geopolitical risk and steady Fed policy underpins gold’s continued surge, making it a top safe-haven choice in 2026.

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Arslan Ali Butt
Arslan Ali Butt is the founder and Lead Market Analyst at AAFX.io, with more than a decade of experience covering forex, cryptocurrencies, commodities, equities, and global macroeconomic trends. He holds an MBA in Finance and an MPhil in Behavioral Finance, combining academic research with practical market experience in technical analysis, dealing-desk operations, risk management, market sentiment, and trading psychology. Since 2014, Arslan has produced data-driven market analysis, price forecasts, trading education, and live webinars for international audiences. His research and commentary have been published by FXEmpire, FXLeaders, FXStreet, TradingKey, Cryptonews, KuCoin Learn, InsideBitcoins, Business2Community, ForexCrunch, EconomyWatch, ACY Securities, and FlowBank. Through AAFX.io, he provides independent, transparent, and clearly sourced market news and analysis designed to help readers understand financial markets and make better-informed decisions.
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Publisher clarification: AAFX.IO is an independent financial news publisher and is not affiliated with AAFX Trading or any similarly named forex broker.
Publisher clarification: AAFX.IO is an independent financial news publisher and is not affiliated with AAFX Trading or any similarly named forex broker.
Publisher clarification: AAFX.IO is an independent financial news publisher and is not affiliated with AAFX Trading or any similarly named forex broker.
Publisher clarification: AAFX.IO is an independent financial news publisher and is not affiliated with AAFX Trading or any similarly named forex broker.