Ethereum (ETH) remains range-bound just below the $1,600 mark, trading around $1,593 on Friday, according to CoinGecko. After slipping below this psychological level earlier in the week, the altcoin has stabilized amid signs that the recent sell-off may be losing steam.
The early-week decline stemmed from a shift in investor sentiment following U.S. policy changes that favored other DeFi tokens like Solana and Hedera, both of which gained from regulatory relief tied to a repealed KYC law. Ethereum, however, retains an edge due to ETH ETF approvals in 2024, reinforcing its blue-chip status in the crypto market.
Despite modest 0.5% daily gains, the sideways action signals consolidation rather than capitulation. For market participants, this could imply a possible bottoming formation as selling pressure wanes.
Derivatives Show Bullish Underpinnings
While trading volume in Ethereum’s derivatives market has cooled, key indicators suggest institutional and high-volume traders are leaning bullish.
According to Coinglass, Ethereum’s:
- Total derivatives volume fell -40.27%
- Open interest rose +1.63%, to $18.01 billion
- Options volume dropped -30.11%
- Options open interest declined -8.49%
However, the long/short ratios on major exchanges indicate bullish sentiment:
- Binance ETH/USDT ratio (accounts): 2.72
- OKX ETH ratio: 2.5
- Top Binance traders (accounts): 3.34
- Top Binance traders (positions): 1.89
These figures point to conviction among experienced traders. Furthermore, liquidation data shows $9.6 million in long positions wiped, compared to $2.4 million in shorts—suggesting that recent volatility may have cleared weak hands, potentially priming ETH for a more sustainable climb.
ETH Technical Outlook Suggests Breakout
Ethereum is now coiling tightly between support at $1,420 and resistance at $1,667, forming a compression pattern that often precedes significant moves. The 20-day moving average, currently holding above the Bollinger midline, provides additional support for bulls.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits at 40.42, slightly above its signal line, hinting at fading bearish momentum. Though not definitively bullish, this flattening RSI trajectory is often an early signal of reversal in trending markets.
Key price triggers to watch:
- A daily close above $1,667 could confirm a breakout toward $1,913
- A breakdown below $1,420 would expose ETH to potential $1,300 downside
Market watchers are now eyeing the next 48 hours as critical. If ETH maintains support above $1,590 and derivatives metrics remain steady, the path toward a bullish breakout grows more compelling.
