Silver prices retreated in Wednesday’s Asian session, slipping 1.7% to $42.05 per ounce after reaching a 14-year high of nearly $42.80 earlier this week. The pullback was largely attributed to profit-taking as investors turned cautious ahead of the U.S. Federal Reserve’s highly anticipated interest rate decision.
The two-day Fed meeting is expected to conclude with a 25-basis-point cut, which would lower the federal funds rate to a range of 4.00%–4.25%. That would mark the lowest level since late 2022, a shift with broad implications for global markets and commodity prices.
Fed Decision Shapes Market Outlook
Economists note that markets have already priced in a near 96% probability of a quarter-point rate reduction. However, the move may not carry unanimous support within the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). Divergent views among policymakers could add volatility to precious metals in the short term.
A softer rate environment typically benefits silver by:
- Reducing the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets.
- Weakening the U.S. dollar, making silver cheaper for global buyers.
- Enhancing the metal’s appeal as an inflation hedge and safe-haven.
Beyond the rate cut, investors will closely parse the Fed’s Summary of Economic Projections, often referred to as the “dot plot,” for clues about future policy shifts into 2026. Powell’s press conference will also be critical for gauging the Fed’s long-term stance.
Global Trade Tensions Add Pressure
The decline in silver also reflects shifting geopolitical sentiment. Easing trade tensions between the United States and China have tempered safe-haven demand. After years of tariff escalations, both nations appear intent on preventing a deeper rupture in economic relations. Former President Trump extended tariffs on Chinese imports—covering roughly 55% of goods—until November 10, but the rhetoric surrounding trade has softened compared with previous years.
Despite Wednesday’s retreat, analysts suggest the downside for silver may remain limited. A decisive dovish tone from the Fed could reignite demand, while ongoing geopolitical and economic uncertainties continue to underpin long-term investor interest in precious metals.
