U.S. stock index futures remained largely unchanged on Thursday evening after Wall Street suffered its worst single-day decline in nearly four years. The sell-off followed President Donald Trump’s announcement of aggressive new tariffs on key trading partners, sparking fears of a global economic slowdown.
- S&P 500 Futures: Flat at 5,434.25 points
- Nasdaq 100 Futures: Up 0.1% to 18,699.0 points
- Dow Jones Futures: Gained 0.1% to 40,711.0 points
The muted movement in futures suggests that traders are awaiting further economic signals before making decisive moves.
Tariff Shock Raises Recession Fears
Trump’s newly announced trade measures include:
- A 10% universal tariff on all imports, effective April 5
- Country-specific tariffs:
- China: Now faces 54% total tariffs
- European Union, Japan, India: New tariffs range from 20% to 26%
- A 25% tariff on all imported automobiles, in effect since April 3
These moves rattled investors, who fear retaliatory tariffs from affected nations could escalate into a full-blown trade war. Analysts warn that supply chain disruptions and rising costs for U.S. businesses could squeeze profit margins and drive inflation higher.
“The risk of a trade war is now very real, and markets are pricing in the possibility of a global recession,” said David Goldman, chief strategist at Capital Markets Advisory.
Tech and Retail Stocks Lead Market Losses
Thursday’s regular trading session saw major indexes plunge:
- S&P 500: -4.8%, its biggest drop since 2020
- Nasdaq Composite: -6%
- Dow Jones Industrial Average: -4%
The hardest-hit stocks included:
- Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL): -9%, as tariffs on Chinese imports threaten supply chain costs
- Nike Inc. (NYSE: NKE): -14%, reflecting concerns over higher production expenses
- Boeing Co. (NYSE: BA): -11%, as trade tensions disrupt aerospace supply chains
- Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ: TSLA): -5.5%, amid fears of increased costs for imported materials
- NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ: NVDA): -8%, with chipmakers facing rising manufacturing costs
Investors Eye Fed Rate Cuts and Jobs Report
With the labor market in focus, traders are looking ahead to Friday’s U.S. payrolls report and a speech by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell for insights on potential monetary policy shifts.
Market expectations for interest rate cuts have surged:
- Before the tariff announcement: Three rate cuts projected in 2025
- After the tariffs: Four rate cuts now expected
The Federal Reserve’s next move will be critical in determining whether markets stabilize or face further volatility in the coming months.