XRP, XLM Outlook: 5 Bearish Signals Put $1.16, $0.153 Support Levels at Risk

Ripple (XRP) and Stellar (XLM) remained under pressure on Tuesday as selling momentum restricted recovery attempts across both cryptocurrencies. XRP traded near $1.25, while XLM slipped below $0.162, increasing the possibility of further losses. Weak derivatives positioning, negative on-chain indicators and prices trading below major moving averages point to a cautious market outlook. Although positive funding rates offer a limited counter-signal, neither token has established a convincing technical recovery.

Derivatives and on-chain signals turn bearish

Data from CoinGlass showed XRP’s long-to-short ratio at 0.90 and XLM’s at 0.98 on Tuesday. Both readings were below one, indicating a greater representation of short positions in the measured derivatives accounts or positioning data. This suggests traders are becoming increasingly cautious about further price declines.

However, funding rates provide a contrasting signal. XRP’s funding rate stood at 0.0065%, while XLM’s reached 0.0085%. Both turned positive on October 30. Positive funding generally means traders holding long positions pay those holding short positions, indicating that some bullish positioning remains despite weak price action.

On-chain indicators from CryptoQuant reinforce the broader negative picture. XRP’s spot and futures markets show large whale orders alongside selling dominance, while elevated spot-market activity suggests increasingly cautious trading conditions. XLM also faces selling pressure across its spot and futures markets.

These indicators do not guarantee additional declines, but their combination with weak price momentum makes a sustained recovery more difficult.

XRP forecast: $1.160 support in focus

XRP traded around $1.251 on Tuesday, remaining below its 50-day, 100-day and 200-day Exponential Moving Averages at $1.336, $1.324 and $1.365, respectively. The token also remains beneath descending trendline resistance near $1.285 and a horizontal barrier around $1.300.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) near 37 indicates weak momentum without reaching the conventional oversold threshold of 30. Meanwhile, the MACD remains slightly negative, suggesting sellers retain short-term control.

A recovery above $1.285 could bring $1.300 into focus. Further gains would encounter resistance around $1.324, $1.336 and $1.365.

On the downside, traders are watching:

• $1.160: Immediate support.
• $1.000: Deeper structural support.
• $1.540 and $1.900: Higher resistance targets if momentum reverses.

XLM forecast: $0.153 remains critical

XLM traded near $0.161, below its former support level of $0.173. Its 50-day, 100-day and 200-day EMAs remain clustered between approximately $0.183 and $0.189, creating substantial overhead resistance.

The RSI near 34 indicates subdued momentum, while the slightly negative MACD reinforces the bearish technical structure. A move above $0.173 would be the first indication that buyers are regaining control. Beyond that, resistance stands at $0.183, $0.185 and $0.189, followed by a stronger barrier near $0.234.

The immediate downside area is around $0.161, while $0.153 represents more substantial support near the previous swing low. A sustained break below $0.153 could expose XLM to a deeper correction.

Conclusion

XRP and XLM face continued downside risks as bearish derivatives positioning, selling-dominated on-chain activity and weak technical indicators limit recovery prospects. XRP needs to reclaim $1.285 and $1.300 to improve its outlook, while XLM must recover $0.173 to challenge the prevailing selling pressure. A breakdown below $1.160 in XRP or $0.153 in XLM would strengthen the bearish case. Until buyers reclaim key resistance levels, both cryptocurrencies remain vulnerable to further losses.