Gold prices pulled back sharply in early Asian trading Wednesday, falling 1.8% to $3,356.99 per ounce after soaring past $3,500 the day before. Spot gold also dipped 1% to $3,347.54/oz. The retreat came after President Donald Trump indicated possible reductions in trade tariffs on China and softened his stance on the Federal Reserve, briefly lifting investor sentiment.
Trump’s remarks triggered a risk-on rally in equity markets, weakening the safe haven appeal of gold. A modest recovery in the U.S. dollar also contributed to gold’s decline, reversing some of the momentum from the previous rally.
Despite the drop, prices remain historically elevated amid ongoing economic uncertainty and geopolitical tension. Analysts caution that market sentiment remains fragile and susceptible to shifts in U.S.-China trade dynamics and Federal Reserve policy signals.
Trade Hopes Spark Market Optimism
Markets responded positively after Trump suggested a potential rollback of tariffs on China—currently at 145%—contingent on progress in trade negotiations. Beijing has retaliated with 125% tariffs, escalating a trade war that has rattled global markets.
A key signal came from Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, who reportedly deemed the U.S.-China trade conflict “unsustainable,” hinting at a push for de-escalation. These developments encouraged a move toward riskier assets and contributed to gold’s pullback.
Trump also dialed down his earlier attacks on Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, assuring markets that he had no intention of removing him. This backpedaling offered further stability to equities, sapping demand for traditional safe havens.
Key Highlights:
- Trump open to reducing tariffs if China engages in talks
- Treasury Secretary views trade war as unsustainable
- Fed Chair Powell appears safe, calming bond markets
Outlook: Gold May Reach $4,000 by 2026
Despite the current retreat, long-term forecasts for gold remain bullish. JP Morgan projects gold will reach $4,000/oz by the second quarter of 2026. The bank cites persistent economic headwinds, including recessionary pressures and continued central bank accumulation of gold reserves, as key drivers.
Still, risks remain. A sharp drop in central bank demand or stronger-than-expected economic resilience in the U.S. could undercut safe haven buying.
Other Market Moves:
- Platinum futures up 0.7% to $961.70/oz
- Silver futures down 0.6% to $32.72/oz
- LME copper up 0.4% to $9,424.20/ton
- U.S. copper futures up 1.1% to $4.9020/lb
As 2025 unfolds, gold’s path remains tightly linked to macroeconomic developments and shifting investor sentiment, making vigilance essential for market participants.
