Gold prices advanced in Asian trading on Wednesday, supported by a softer U.S. dollar and renewed bets that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates in December. Spot gold rose 0.9% to $4,166.13 per ounce, while February futures climbed 0.9% to $4,201.15/oz.
The recent gains reflect a combination of persistent geopolitical uncertainty—including tensions between Japan and China, as well as Russia-Ukraine ceasefire risks—and market optimism for lower borrowing costs. Investors sought havens even as equities and broader risk assets experienced modest rallies.
September economic data reinforced the case for easing. Retail sales barely grew, and core producer inflation fell more than anticipated, signaling that U.S. price pressures are easing. The data series represents some of the final official readings available to the Fed before its December 9–10 meeting, as a partial government shutdown delayed October labor and inflation reports.
- U.S. PCE inflation data rescheduled for December 5
- Fed officials increasingly signal potential near-term easing
- Market-implied probability of a 25-basis-point cut rose to 80.7%
Precious Metals Benefit Across the Board
Other precious metals followed gold higher on expectations of looser monetary policy:
- Spot silver: up 1% to $52.02/oz, near record highs
- Spot platinum: up 0.2% to $1,559.90/oz
Lower interest rates typically favor non-yielding assets such as gold and silver by reducing the opportunity cost of holding them compared with interest-bearing assets like Treasuries.
Industrial metals also responded positively. Copper futures on the London Metal Exchange rose 0.3% to $10,992.90 per tonne, buoyed by major Chilean miner Codelco signaling substantial price increases for Chinese buyers.
Dollar Weakness Adds Momentum
Gold and other commodities also benefitted from a weaker greenback. The Dollar Index fell 0.5% from a near six-month high, enhancing the appeal of dollar-denominated commodities for overseas buyers.
A softer dollar reduces the cost for non-U.S. investors and typically drives broader commodity gains. Analysts note that continued dollar weakness coupled with high odds of Fed rate cuts could sustain upward pressure on gold and related metals in the coming sessions.
- Dollar decline boosts foreign demand for gold
- Rate-sensitive assets lose appeal, favoring metals
- Geopolitical risks keep haven demand elevated
With rate-cut expectations surging and geopolitical uncertainty persistent, gold appears positioned for continued near-term gains, even amid a generally risk-on market environment.
