Gold prices surged in European trading on Monday as investors rushed toward safe-haven assets following a dramatic U.S. military operation in Venezuela. The unexpected capture of President Nicolas Maduro injected fresh geopolitical risk into global markets, quickly lifting demand for bullion.
Spot gold rose 2.4% to $4,432.12 per ounce by mid-morning in Europe, while U.S. gold futures climbed 2.7% to $4,444.30. The move reversed recent profit-taking and pushed prices back toward record territory after bullion ended 2025 with gains exceeding 60%, one of its strongest annual performances on record.
Market participants described the rally as a classic risk-off response. Equities wobbled, energy markets tightened, and defensive assets caught an immediate bid as traders reassessed political stability in Latin America and potential spillovers into global supply chains.
U.S. Intervention Shakes Risk Appetite
U.S. officials confirmed that President Maduro was detained during a weekend raid in Caracas and transferred to the United States to face longstanding criminal charges. The operation marked the most direct U.S. intervention in Venezuela in decades, significantly escalating tensions in the region.
While economists expect limited short-term economic disruption, the geopolitical implications are more complex. Venezuela holds the world’s largest proven oil reserves, yet production has already been constrained by sanctions and underinvestment. The latest developments raised fresh uncertainty around future crude output and export flows.
Thomas Mathews, Head of Markets for Asia Pacific at Capital Economics, noted that while immediate financial effects may be contained, elevated geopolitical risk premiums could persist across regional assets.
Key market implications investors are watching:
- Potential disruptions to Venezuelan oil exports
- Increased volatility in energy and emerging-market assets
- Sustained demand for defensive instruments such as gold
- Rising geopolitical risk premiums globally
Supportive Macro Trends Reinforce Bullion
Beyond geopolitics, gold continues to benefit from a favorable macroeconomic backdrop. Expectations of U.S. interest rate cuts later this year have reduced the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets, reinforcing bullion’s appeal. Central banks, particularly in emerging markets, remain steady buyers as they diversify reserves away from the U.S. dollar.
Although gold briefly retreated after hitting a record high of $4,549.71 per ounce in late 2025, analysts say the underlying drivers of the rally remain intact. Persistent concerns over global growth, elevated government debt, and geopolitical flashpoints continue to underpin long-term demand.
With prices now hovering close to historic peaks, investors see gold as both a hedge against uncertainty and a strategic allocation in an increasingly fragmented global economy.
