Gold prices climbed to an unprecedented level on Tuesday, trading at $3,656.70 an ounce in Asia, as investors positioned themselves for potential Federal Reserve policy easing. U.S. gold futures followed the rally, peaking at $3,695.25.
The surge came after weaker-than-expected U.S. labor market data reinforced expectations of a September rate cut. Markets are currently pricing in a 92.4% likelihood of a 25-basis-point reduction and a 7.6% chance of a deeper, 50-basis-point move, according to CME FedWatch.
Lower borrowing costs generally favor non-yielding assets such as gold, as they reduce the comparative appeal of government bonds. At the same time, Fed officials have cautioned that persistent inflation, partly fueled by trade tariffs, could complicate policy moves. The release of U.S. consumer inflation data this week is likely to further influence market sentiment.
Global Tensions Fuel Safe-Haven Demand
Beyond monetary policy, geopolitical instability is intensifying the demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. French Prime Minister Francois Bayrou’s resignation after losing a confidence vote triggered fresh concerns over political stability in Europe.
In Japan, Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba’s sudden departure added to investor unease, while in Eastern Europe, renewed U.S. sanctions on Russia—following a deadly strike on Ukraine—highlighted escalating risks. These developments reinforced bullion’s role as a shield against volatility in global markets.
Key factors supporting gold demand:
- European politics: French leadership turmoil sparks market caution.
- Asian instability: Japan faces new political uncertainty.
- Geopolitical risks: Russia-Ukraine conflict escalates amid sanctions.
Silver Holds Near 14-Year High, Metals Mixed
Other precious metals also posted gains. Silver futures edged 0.2% higher to $41.30 an ounce, holding close to last week’s 14-year peak. Platinum futures rose 0.6% to $1,397.25, reflecting renewed investor interest in industrial-linked metals.
Copper markets showed modest strength, with London Metal Exchange futures up 0.2% at $9,940.15 a ton. U.S. copper futures mirrored the gain, reaching $4.58 a pound. Analysts at ING noted that uncertainty around U.S. tariff policy on copper imports has altered trade flows between China and the U.S., though further shifts could emerge if planned tariffs are reintroduced later this year.
The combination of monetary easing prospects, geopolitical instability, and commodity-specific dynamics is creating a powerful environment for precious metals. For investors seeking diversification and protection, gold’s record-breaking run underscores its enduring role as a global safe haven.
