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USOIL and Natural Gas

Oil Holds Near 1-Month High as Tariffs Loom, Poised for 3rd Weekly Gain

Oil prices hover near a one-month high as U.S.

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Arslan Ali Butt
Editor at AAFX.IO
Mar 28, 2025
Updated Mar 28, 2025
Oil Holds Near 1-Month High as Tariffs Loom, Poised for 3rd Weekly Gain

Oil prices remained near a one-month high on Friday as investors braced for fresh U.S. tariffs set to take effect next week. Brent crude futures for April delivery hovered around $74.00 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude stood at $69.45 per barrel, both near multi-week highs.

For the week, both benchmarks were on track for gains exceeding 2%, marking their third consecutive weekly rise. The rally was fueled by concerns over tightening global supply, driven by U.S. threats of sanctions on countries importing Venezuelan oil and declining domestic crude stockpiles.

U.S. Oil Inventories Drop as Supply Tightens

The latest data from the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) signaled a tightening market:

  • Crude oil inventories fell by 3.3 million barrels to 433.6 million barrels, surpassing analysts’ forecasts of a 956,000-barrel draw.
  • Gasoline stocks declined by 1.4 million barrels, slightly missing expectations of a 1.8 million-barrel drop.

The drawdown suggests sustained demand and limited supply, further supporting oil prices.

Tariff Tensions: Trump Targets Imports, Canada Responds

President Donald Trump announced plans to impose a 25% tariff on all imported automobiles and parts, effective April 2. The move has sparked backlash from key trading partners.

  • Canada’s Response: Prime Minister Mark Carney stated that the U.S.-Canada trade relationship is “over” and urged a shift in economic strategy to protect Canada’s auto industry.
  • Global Trade Risks: Additional reciprocal tariffs are expected, targeting nations with significant trade imbalances with the U.S.

As geopolitical tensions escalate, oil traders remain cautious. Concerns over potential supply chain disruptions and economic uncertainty could impact global fuel demand.

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Arslan Ali Butt
Arslan Ali Butt is the founder and Lead Market Analyst at AAFX.io, with more than a decade of experience covering forex, cryptocurrencies, commodities, equities, and global macroeconomic trends. He holds an MBA in Finance and an MPhil in Behavioral Finance, combining academic research with practical market experience in technical analysis, dealing-desk operations, risk management, market sentiment, and trading psychology. Since 2014, Arslan has produced data-driven market analysis, price forecasts, trading education, and live webinars for international audiences. His research and commentary have been published by FXEmpire, FXLeaders, FXStreet, TradingKey, Cryptonews, KuCoin Learn, InsideBitcoins, Business2Community, ForexCrunch, EconomyWatch, ACY Securities, and FlowBank. Through AAFX.io, he provides independent, transparent, and clearly sourced market news and analysis designed to help readers understand financial markets and make better-informed decisions.
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